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Looking back
at the major industry news events of 2005 reveals a market surprised
by the economys strength, and concerned about dark clouds
ahead.
By
Tim Triplett,
Editor-in-Chief
Sidebars
and Tables:
At
this time last year, mills and service centers were toting up their
record gains of 2004, and wondering how long the good times could
last. Today, after another remarkable year for metals, their mindset
is much the same.
Looking
ahead to 2006, however, the signs of an economic slowdown are much
more clear. The U.S. economy performed better than many expected
through the first three quarters of this year, with GDP growing
by 3.8 percent. But the pace of economic growth has clearly slowed
from the 4.6 percent in 2004. Some experts predict decent growth
continuing at around 3 percent next year, others less than 2 percent,
depending on what transpires in such bellwether sectors as housing,
energy and automotive.
UCLAs
Anderson Forecast predicts a sustained slowdown in the U.S. housing
market that could cost the economy thousands of jobs next year,
as new construction, new-home sales and applications for home mortgages
are all trending downward. While housing will put the brakes on
the economy, the researchers add, it should stop short of triggering
a recession.
GMs
recent announcement that it will close nine production facilities
and cut production by 1 million vehicles underscores the changes
taking place in the auto sector as the New Domestics win further
market share from the Big Three. Auto industry observers fear that
high gasoline prices will continue to add to soft consumer demand
for new vehicles in 2006.
2005
will no doubt be remembered as the year of the storm. Given the
unprecedented destruction Hurricane Katrina caused to the Gulf Coast,
experts can only speculate on how much reconstruction efforts will
affect the economy next year. A few steel mills and service centers
reported relatively minor hurricane damage, but many of their customers
continue to struggle with the logistical after-effects of the storm.
U.S.
imports of steel declined considerably in 2005, as steel demand
suffered from excess inventories. Domestic steel shipments declined
around 10 percent due to the inventory correction and mill production
cutbacks.
It
took until August for the market to work excess inventories down
to more normal levels, and continued reductions in the fourth quarter
have set the stage for stronger domestic shipments and increased
imports in 2006.
While
steel prices moderated considerably in 2005 from 2004s historic
highs, they remained at above-average levels. The lower prices and
inventory destocking produced mixed results among producers. Most
service centers saw at least modest declines in revenues from last
years record levels, as well. At years end, analysts
report that steel price declines have leveled off, but softening
of end-use demand in markets such as automotive and housing could
add pressure to prices in 2006.
China
continued to be a lightning rod for criticism on the trade front.
Earlier this year, Chinas Central Bank repegged the yuan from
8.28 per dollar to 8.11, a small 2 percent shift, and said it will
allow its currency to float, within a limited range. Critics quickly
labeled the announcement a political maneuver that will do little
to correct the huge inequity created by Chinas monetary policy.
In the U.S. Treasurys November Report to Congress, Secretary
John W. Snow said that China remains too slow in developing a market-based
exchange rate, but he stopped short of directly accusing China of
manipulating its currency.
The
pace of industry consolidation may have quickened a bit in 2005
as companies sought to reinvest their big gains from last year.
Among mills, major deals included: Mittal Steels acquisition
of International Steel Group; Nucors purchase of Fort Howard
Steel and Marion Steel in the bar market; Steel Dynamics plan
to purchase Roanoke Electric; the purchase of Republic Engineered
Products by Mexicos Grupo Simec; the purchase of Copperweld
by Dofascos Atlas Tube division; and ThyssenKrupps friendly
takeover offer for Dofasco.
Major
deals among service centers included: ONeal Steels purchase
of Leeco Steel Products and TW Metals; Paragon Steels purchase
of Feralloys Midwest Division; Copper and Brass Sales
purchase of Slitco Metal Processing and Sales, and Metalfast Services;
Esmarks acquisition of U.S. Metals and Supply Co. and Miami
Valley Steel Services; Macsteels purchases of Alpha Steel
and Alpha Processing; Reliance Steel & Aluminums purchase
of Chapel Steel Corp.; and Apollo Managements investment in
Metals USA.
Such
industry consolidation is a natural evolution in every industry,
says Bill Jones, president of ONeal Steel. There is
still significant opportunity for consolidation among service centers,
he says. The cost of entry into metals is pretty low, though,
which means distribution will probably never consolidate as much
as the producing side of the industry.
A
Look Back at 2005
Highlights of industry news events of the past year, chronologically,
January through December:
- Paragon Steel,
Fort Wayne, Ind., purchased the assets of Feralloys Midwest
Division in Butler, Ind.
- Alcan spun
off its Rolled Products Unit to form Novelis, one of the largest
aluminum mill products suppliers in the world.
- TXI spun
off its Chaparral Steel Co. subsidiary, making the structural
mill a standalone company.
- The Port
of Indiana reported it had moved more tons of steel during October
2004 than any month in its 34-year history.
- Copper and
Brass Sales, Southfield, Mich., purchased the assets of Schupan
Aluminum Sales in Austin, Texas.
- Edgen Corp.,
Baton Rouge, La., was sold to Jefferies Capital Partners, New
York, and senior Edgen managers.
- Nucor Corp.
purchased the assets of Fort Howard Steel Inc.s Oak Creek,
Wis., mill, giving Nucor a leadership position in the cold-finished
bar market.
- The Lerman
family expanded their LJT Tennessee LLC mechanical and structural
steel tube mill in Chattanooga, Tenn.
- The steel
industry responded generously to the tsunami relief fund, led
by Mittal Steels pledge of $1.9 million to provide assistance
in India and Indonesia. Dofasco, IPSCO, Kobe Steel and the United
Steelworkers also made sizable contributions to the relief effort.
- Industry
data showed that steel imports rose a whopping 55 percent in 2004
to meet the needs of the robust economy.
- North Americas
leading mills and service center companies reported record gains
in sales and earnings in 2004, fueled by historically high steel
prices.
- Canadian
steelmaker Dofasco announced it was dropping plans to construct
a galvanized line in the Southern United States.
- Stelco rejected
four bids from potential acquirers as it worked to emerge from
bankruptcy reorganization.
- U.S. Steel
announced plans to build a hot-dip galvanizing facility in Slovakia.
- A final vote
by shareholders cleared the way for Mittal Steel to merge with
International Steel Group, forming the worlds largest steel
producer.
- ONeal
Steel, Birmingham, Ala., completed its first major transaction
of the year, purchasing the assets of plate distributor Leeco
Steel Products Inc., Darien, Ill.
- Copper and
Brass Sales, Southfield, Mich., purchased Slitco Metal Processing
and Sales of Countryside, Ill.
- Chicago-based
Esmark acquired U.S. Metals and Supply Co., St. Louis.
- Opponents
renewed their call for Congress to repeal the controversial Byrd
Amendment after the European Union and Canada threatened retaliatory
tariffs.
- Macsteel
Service Centers USA acquired Alpha Steel, Hammond, Ind. Later
in the year, Macsteel would also purchase Alpha Processing of
Chicago from the same owners.
- Copper and
Brass Sales continued its flurry of acquisitions with the purchase
of Las Vegas-based Metalfast Services LLC.
- EMJs
initial public offering netted the company $164 million.
- The International
Trade Commission renewed duties on hot-rolled carbon steel products
from Brazil and Japan and voted not to terminate the suspended
antidumping investigation on certain hot-rolled carbon steel products
from Russia.
- Nucor acquired
bar maker Marion Steel Co. for a purchase price of $113 million.
- Outokumpu
sold its fabricated copper products business, excluding the tube
and brass division, to Nordic Capital for an estimated $772 million.
- Articulating
the views of the domestic steel industry, Steel Dynamics Inc.
Vice President John Nolan provided testimony to Congress claiming
the single biggest disadvantage faced by United States companies
was Chinas manipulation of its currency.
- Chicago-based
Esmark Inc. made its largest purchase, acquiring Miami Valley
Steel Services Inc., Piqua, Ohio.
- Reliance
Steel & Aluminum Co., Los Angeles, purchased plate distributor
Chapel Steel Corp., Spring House, Pa.
- EMJ announced
plans to open branches in Spokane, Wash., Hartford, Conn., Lafayette,
La. and Quebec City, Quebec.
- Rath Manufacturing
Inc., Janesville, Wis., and Gibson Tube Inc., North Branch, N.J.,
merged to form RathGibson, supplier of nickel alloys, high purity
tubing and oil field products.
- Mittal Steel,
still working to integrate its acquisition of ISG, opted to idle
its Cleveland and Indiana Harbor furnaces for maintenance, partially
to reduce excess inventory in the supply chain. Mittal later announced
plans to reduce global steel production by one million tons during
the third quarter in order to match demand.
- Wheeling-Pittsburgh
Steel shut down its No. 1 blast furnace after more than a century
of service.
- Donald R.
McNeeley of Chicago Tube and Iron company was elected chairman
of the Metals Service Center Institute, succeeding Michael F.
Peterson of Peterson Aluminum Corp., Elk Grove Village, Ill.
- ESCO Corp.,
Portland, Ore., acquired the assets of Quality Steel Foundries,
Nisku, Alberta, and SRW Technologies, Edmonton, Alberta, now both
part of ESCO Engineered Products.
- Butech Inc.,
Salem, Ohio, purchased the property and products of the former
E.W. Bliss-Rolling Mill Division from DMS, Lille, France, forming
Butech Bliss.
- Chinas
Central Bank repegged the yuan from 8.28 per dollar to 8.11, a
2 percent shift, and said it will allow the currency to float,
within a limited range. Critics were quick to label the announcement
a political maneuver that will do little to correct the huge inequity
created by Chinas currency manipulation.
- National
Tube Supply began a $4.2 million expansion in south suburban Chicago.
- Mexican Steelmaker
Industrias CH, S.A. de C.V., purchased Republic Engineered Products
Inc., Fairlawn, Ohio, for $229 million. Republic, a special bar
quality steelmaker, becomes a subsidiary of Guadalajara-based
Grupo Simec, of which ICH is the primary owner.
- Norfolk Iron
and Metal Co., Norfolk, Neb., and Steel Warehouse Co., South Bend,
Ind., formed a joint venture company, Steel Processing Center
LLC, in Rock Island, Ill.
- Red Man Pipe
& Supply Co. purchased majority interest in Brooks, Alberta-based
Midfield Supply Ltd., a service center chain serving the energy
industry in Western Canada.
- Hurricane
Katrina stunned the South inflicting some damage on industry companies
such as Aluminum & Stainless Inc., Namasco Corp. and ONeal
Steel. Even once all employees were accounted for and damage repaired,
many companies in the region continued to feel the logistical
after-effects of the storm.
- The Continued
Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act of 2000, more commonly known as
the Byrd Amendment, continued to dominate foreign trade policy
battles in Congress. End-users arguing for the acts repeal
made headway late in the year as their bill narrowly passed in
the House headed to a House-Senate Conference Committee.
- In Canada,
Dofascos Atlas Tube division agreed to buy Copperweld.
- Stelco Inc.
filed a new bankruptcy restructuring plan, but the status of the
Canadian steelmaker remained uncertain at years end, as
did the sale of three of its subsidiaries to Mittal Steel.
- SeverCorr,
a partnership between SteelCorr and Severstal Group, announces
plans to build a new steel mill in Mississippi. The mill, which
was expected to open in the third quarter of 2007, would produce
1.5 million tons of flat-rolled steel products.
- Steel Dynamics
Inc., Fort Wayne, Ind., agreed to purchase Roanoke Electric for
$240 million. The deal, which is expected to be completed by early
2006, would make SDI one of the nations most diversified
steel companies.
- ONeal
Steel made its second major purchase of the year, acquiring TW
Metals from a private holding company. TW will be operated as
a wholly owned subsidiary of Birmingham-based ONeal.
- The merger
between Metals USA and private management firm Apollo Management
was ultimately finalized, but not without intrigue. The Houston-based
company reported that it failed to meet one of the conditions
of the purchase agreement, though that condition was ultimately
changed to allow the purchase to proceed.
- Nucor Corp.
announced plans to build a second Castrip thin-slab-casting facility.
- Domestic
producers of wire rod filed an antidumping petition against mills
in China, Germany and Turkey. Domestic mills had filed a previously
successful petition in 2001 on wire rod imports from Brazil, Canada,
Indonesia, Mexico, Moldova, Trinidad and Tobago, and Ukraine.
- Dofasco agreed
to a takeover bid from ThyssenKrupp AG at a price of $4.1 billion.
The move came on the heels of an unsolicited takeover attempt
by Belgian steelmaker Arcelor.
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