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Although
intermediate steel processors admit the industry is changing, they
are confident that demand for their services has longevity. Most
expect a stable and modestly profitable 2005.
By Corinna
C. Petry,
Managing Editor
The
historic consolidation of Big Steel is shifting the prospects for
toll processorssome predict positively, others fear negatively.
The
consolidation creates more stability, but we dont know if
it means increased or decreased volume of processing tonnage,
says Fred Weddington, director of toll products for Worthington
Industries Inc., Columbus, Ohio. Some processors may lose
out if a merged company, in order to reduce internal costs, decides
to streamline its list of service providers, he warns, but
demand remains the same.
Weddington
predicts the dynamics of the toll processing industry will change
over the next few years, but not until the producer consolidation
settles down. Mergers and acquisitions may begin occurring among
toll processors next.
Gary
Corson, toll processing manager for Olympic Steel Inc., Cleveland,
sees the market shifting already. Whereas the mills did a
lot of the outside processing, now the end-use customer will be
doing it. So the customer base for the [toll] processing industry
is changing. The steel is ending up in the same place, but the entity
thats paying for it has changed to manufacturers as opposed
to steelmakers.
Douglas
R. Bernd, vice president of outside processing for Mi-Tech Steel
Inc., Louisville, Ky., says the full effect of mill consolidation
has yet to be seen. In general, the remaining large integrated mills
are concentrating on sales to automotive and appliance makers. Minimill
giant Nucor has stepped up to fill the gaps in what were formerly
integrated markets, choosing them selectively to fit their business
plan, Bernd says.
Processing
is not going away, but it is in a state of transition, he
adds. I hope we will see more tons. I dont think the
changes among producers will bode poorly for processors. I think
there are a lot of opportunities.
Toll
processors live on the rise and fall of steel consumption, says
Eduardo Gonzalez, president and chief executive officer of Ferrous
Metal Processing in Cleveland. The healthier the customers, the
more they consume. FMP saw 23 customers declare bankruptcy between
2002 and 2003. Last year, many of them were able to exit bankruptcy
and return to good financial health. That was the most significant
improvement we saw in 2004. Theyre all pretty solid now.
Gonzalez
does not expect a high rate of growth for toll processing, however.
If I am correct, total tons consumed wont change more
than 2 or 3 percent. If you want to grow your business, the way
to increase your volume is to go forward and backward in the supply
chain. You can do more processing that the mills used to do, and
do more processing that the end users did before. Meanwhile, you
have to reduce costs and eliminate waste. We see that as the most
likely place for growth.
The
consolidation of steelmaking capacity has worked out well so far
for Detroit-based Voss Industries Inc., according to sales manager
David Detzel. In 2004, we saw our business grow significantly.
We were fortunate to have relationships with a couple of the major
mills. We saw a very nice increase in our business, not only through
the mills but also from service centers. Our volume increased about
20 percent last year [over 2003]. Thats a huge number for
us.
The
majority of that growth occurred at the Voss-Clark facility in Jeffersonville,
Ind., where the company saw increased barge traffic. We are
seeing more and more mills attracted to the transplant [automotive
manufacturing] business south of there, such as Toyota. Our business
at Voss-Clark grew substantially.
The
company also experienced solid gains in the Motor City. Both
our Detroit facilities had growth in the 15 to 16 percent range,
Detzel says.
Voss
Industries had little luck raising service fees, however. As
the big get bigger, they squeeze harder on pricing. Our sales volume
did not increase as strongly as our processing volume.
Ninety
percent of the material Voss Industries processes ends up in automotive
applications, which puts the processor in a strong position for
2005.
Automotive
customers tell us they expect a year as good, even a touch better,
than 2004, which was 16.7 million units. The range is 16.5 to 16.9
million units, Detzel says.
Taylor
Coil Processing, Lordstown, Ohio, forecasts that its processing
volume in 2005 will equal that of last year, which general sales
manager Pete Adamski says was fairly strong.
We
dont see any significant shiftseither gaining business
or losing business, he says. With Mittal Steel making
acquisitions, and the acquisition of Stelco, it will compress the
supply base. Processors like ourselves will grow a bit more dependent
on fewer sources of steel than in the past.
The
operating culture of a newly merged steelmaker will play a role
in their approach to future outside processing, says Peter V. Walch,
chairman of Flat Rock Metal Processing, Flat Rock, Mich. It
will be interesting to see which culture survives the merger of
Mittal Steel and ISG. ISG wasnt wild about outside processing,
but they were forced into it when acquiring Bethlehem. Mittal, with
the Inland Group, had a history of strong outside processing operation.
Thats all up in the air now. Short term, Walch looks
forward to a very good 2005.
Capital
improvements
Although consensus among toll processors indicates there is an excess
of steel processing capacity in the United States, several operators
plan expansions.
Weddington
at Worthington Industries says nothing much can be gained by the
startup of greenfield processing operations, given the amount of
overcapacity that exists. As the level of business stabilizes, there
may be modest increases for players that are correctly positioned
geographically. Outside of that, looking at the automotive
market, there is not enough increase in production for a [processor]
to make a huge new investment. To grow, existing processors
will have to increase their capacity incrementally through continuous
improvement, he says.
One
such example is Olympic Steel, which will install new equipment
at its plant in Winder, Ga., this year. The Southeast is becoming
a vibrant market and theres a greater need for toll processors
there, explains Corson.
Specialty
Metals Processing Inc., Stow, Ohiowhich offers slitting, cut
to length and metal finishing on ferrous and nonferrous materialfound
its business growing sufficiently for an expansion. President Mike
Miniea says he opened a new plant Dec. 20 in Akron to perform more
plate polishing.
We
put in four wide plate polishing/grinding machines that handle material
up to 6 inches thick, 60 inches wide and 30 feet long. We will put
in a new coil-to-coil polishing machine for light-gauge stainless
steel coils, he says.
When
the companys lease expires in Stow in a couple years, Miniea
plans to relocate to a rail-sided facility in Lordstown, where well
expand our processing capability to go into bigger, wider coils.
At our facility in Stow, we have no rail and we are limited with
our crane capacity.
Ferrous
Metal Processing plans to open up a Class 1 exposed automotive slitting
and inspection line in Macedonia, Ohio, this fall to serve automotive
stampers in the region. The companys total investment will
be about $7 million. Manufactured by Herr-Voss Stamco with the capacity
to handle 110,000-pound coils up to 78 inches wide, this will be
the largest such line ever built and installed in the United
States, says Gonzalez, who hopes FMP can take in jumbo
coils, cut them and save a few bucks a ton.
Inspected,
and even mapped, coils are very much on the minds of processors
and their customers these days. Voss Industries in November installed
a totally computerized inspection system to inspect the top and
bottom surfaces at all three of its pickle lines. We now guarantee
100 percent surface inspection on every coil we pickle, Detzel
says.
The
system takes 10 pictures a second on both sides and compares that
to a history file of known steel defects, he explains. If
the system detects defects, it records them and provides a coil
map to the customer, from tail to tail and top to bottom. With a
map, the customer can determine whether he has any rejectable issues.
When they run it through their slitter or blanking line, this ensures
they get the most yield possible from the coil with a minimum of
inspection at their site.
Flat
Rock Metal Processing installed a new Stamco 80-inch-wide slitting
line in Perrysburg, Ohio, last year; installed a 72-inch-wide 400-ton
press blanking line for automotive steel in Flat Rock, Mich.; just
completed installation of a refurbished Red Bud Industries multi-blanking
line in Eldridge, Iowa; and has created an extranet site so customers
can track their orders on-line.
The
companys chief is looking to expand even further. We
are looking at several facilities for operations that do not have
existing processing in them, Walch says. He believes there
is still room in the marketplace for expansion by the strongest
participants. Much akin to whats happening with the
major producers, I think there will be more consolidation in our
part of the industry, too. Thats a natural evolution. But
smaller companies with older equipment will struggle to keep pace.
Transportation
Transportation and logistics problems, while much less severe this
year, continue to frustrate toll processors.
Freight
and logistics is a big issue for our entire industry, says
Bernd at Mi-Tech Steel. JIT customers have to be managed very
closely. With the restrictions, like the hours-of-service rules
on truckers, the job has become more difficult in some respects.
It requires closer planning at the beginning of a program, and has
to be done very effectively.
Gonzalez
at FMP believes the entire system for hauling steel is in need of
a makeover. The 80,000-pound gross on trucks was legislated
during the 60s, when the highway system was new. With the
new configuration of trucks and other issues, we should increase
the allowable weight on a truck, in a way thats safe and causes
less wear and tear. Ultimately, that will translate into lower costs,
he says.
Gonzalez
has gone so far as to lobby Ohio state legislators about raising
the allowable truck weight.
He
has few kind words for the railroads, either, which he claims have
become near monopolies and continue to resist change. The railroads
decide their rates based on overland truck rates, he says, and
because the gross weight on trucks hasnt changed in 40 years,
the railroads arent inclined to do anything to lower their
costs. Thats why it is more expensive to ship steel from Cleveland
to Nashville than from Shanghai to Long Beach.
Voss
Industries is working with its carriers to squeeze as much efficiency
as possible out of freight operations, Detzel says. We manage
the dwell timethe time that trucks are present at our facility
from the moment they check in to the moment they check out. Our
goal is to get all trucks in and out within 45 minutes. We are just
about right there.
The
hours-of-service rules implemented at the beginning of 2004 affected
the number of carriers that are available on loads over 200 miles
with four to five hours of transit time. They dont want
to take the load unless they have a back haul guarantee, says
Detzel. We work with our mill customers, who ask us to call
their carriers, and we try to add to those routes to get as many
customers served on each as possible.
Logistics
is an ongoing issue at Taylor Coil Processing, too. Adamski says,
Its not only availability of transport modes, but also
increased costs due to fuel surcharges. It adds to the overall cost
of delivering material.
Processors
see the market and their industry in flux, which makes uncertainty
an uncomfortable fact of life. Globally, there are a lot of
unknowns. We dont know whats in store. We are hoping
for stability, Adamski says, but were looking
only three months ahead.
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