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Fact
Sheet on
Manufacturing Competition
The
United States is at a distinct cost disadvantage in the global competition
for production of manufactured goodsespecially in relation
to China.
Members of the National Association of Manufacturers, Metals Service
Center Institute and Precision Metalforming Association met April
19 in a Town Hall Meeting designed to rally support for two bills
in the House and Senate (see sidebar on legislation).
The
issues that negatively affect American manufacturers and the industries
that sell them raw materials range from disparities in currency
valuations and tariffs to regulatory and legal expenses.
Stephen
Gold, vice president and executive director of the National Association
of Manufacturers, Washington, D.C., discussed the good news firstthat
manufacturing still has a place in the U.S. economy. Of the $2.4
trillion in annual manufacturing inputs, 80 percent originate from
domestic sources; of $1.3 trillion in annual consumer purchasesfuel,
vehicles, food, pharmaceuticals, etc.75 percent of the products
are sourced domestically; and of the $600 billion spent per year
on housing and capital goods, 67 percent is spent on domestically
manufactured goods.
We
still have a vibrant economy, and in terms of the value of output,
we still have the largest manufacturing sector in the world,
Gold said. Our goal is to make sure it stays that way.
Intellectual
capitalwhich has been a competitive advantage for the United
States for many generationscan be created anywhere now and
transported instantaneously almost anywhere else. It remains one
of Americas great competitive advantages, allowing us to be
one of the most innovative societies in the world. We want to keep
the intellectual capital here and create the next technological
evolution, he said.
However,
manufacturing employment has suffered. From 2000 to 2003, during
the manufacturing recession, the rest of the U.S. economy gained
2.5 million jobs while the manufacturing sector lost 2.7 million
jobs.
Meanwhile,
said Gold, a large and growing number of our members are seeing
either a moderate or a significant shortagetoday or in the
near futureof skilled workers. Its not just IT workers,
engineers or scientists; its machinists, production workers,
craft workers. This is serious because manufacturing in the 21st
century is high-tech. If we cannot get skilled workers with technical
knowledge and capabilities to run our operations, our problems will
mount, Gold said.
He
discussed non-production costs faced by U.S. manufacturers, vs.
Americas major trading partners. Germany has the highest labor
costs per hour worked, followed by the United States, United Kingdom,
Canada and France. Mexico and China are at the low end of the labor
cost scale.
NAM also cites high regulatory costs on manufacturing in America
as a disadvantage, comparing its $8,000 bill for U.S. federal regulatory
costs per employee with $3,500 for the retail and wholesale trade
and $2,000 for the services sector.
High
energy and raw material costs are also taking a tollespecially
when compared to the very modest 4 percent rise in finished product
prices realized last year. NAM members reported that in 2004, they
saw cost hikes of 65 percent for certain metals, such as copper
and nickel; a 53 percent increase in natural gas; a 47 percent increase
in steel; a 30 percent increase in petroleum; and a 12 percent increase
in iron ore.
Chinas
voracious appetite for raw materials was a contributing factor,
but Gold also charged the U.S. government with failure to address
energy-related issues.
NAM
also compared the corporate tax burden of various industrialized
nations. Germany, Japan, the United States and Belgium have the
highest tax burden, all above 30 percent and closer to 40 percent.
The
United States, Germany and France face the highest legal costs.
The U.S. cost of tort litigation, as a percentage of manufacturing
output, is at 4.5 percent. U.S. companies spend almost $250 billion
on tort costs, Gold said, adding that it equals 2.25 percent of
U.S. GDP. That is being siphoned away from research and development,
innovation, from investments in labor and capital equipment.
The
bilateral trade deficit with China has seen a 25 percent increase
each year, on average, over the past four years. In 2004, the U.S.
manufacturing trade deficit with China was 34 percent; with the
European Union, 21 percent; and with NAFTA partners Canada and Mexico,
5 percent.
In
2001, the U.S. exported $19 billion worth of goods to China vs.
$102 billion worth of goods imported from China, an $83 billion
difference. By 2004, the imbalance increased dramatically: the U.S.
exported $35 billion worth of goods to China and imported $197 million
of Chinese goods, a difference of $162 billion.
Dr.
Joseph A. Massey, director of the Center for International Business
and professor at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College,
also presented statistics on shifts in global competition, focusing
on China.
Manufacturing
accounts for 44 percent of Chinas gross domestic product,
90 percent of its exports, 85 percent of its imports and 70 percent
of inbound investments. In 2003, China accounted for more than 60
percent of the growth in world trade. Last year, China overtook
Japan to become the worlds largest exporter and surpassed
the United States as the top export market for Japanese goods.
William
E. Gaskin, president and secretary of the Precision Metalforming
Association, Independence, Ohio, said the U.S. and Canadian metal
forming industrys growth trend has been flat. Due to the manufacturing
recession in 2001, 36 percent of PMA member companies experienced
losses, compared with 28 percent reporting losses in 2002 and 33
percent who lost money in 2003. By contrast, Gaskin said, 75 percent
of American companies operating in China made money.
More
recently, although shipping levels have been on a slightly upward
trend, incoming orders started to dip in March. Just the same, PMA
members said they expect to increase their capital spending by 8
percent this year, to an average of nearly $650,000.
Your
primary customers for flat-rolled metals are having a tough time.
The key issue for us is the steel [price]. When you start intervening
in markets, there are downstream consequences and upstream consequences
that impact a lot of people, Gaskin said.
As
recently as March, 83 percent of surveyed PMA members reported experiencing
some disruption in their businesses due to late arrivals of steel
shipments.
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Getting
China to Play Fair
NAM,
MSCI and PMAseparately and togetherare pushing
for passage of two pieces of trade legislation now before
Congress aimed at leveling the playing field with China.
The
first is a Senate bill to amend the Foreign Affairs Authorization
Act, which would impose a 27.5 percent tariff on all Chinese
imports. Congress has found that the currency of the Peoples
Republic of China, the yuan, is artificially pegged at a level
significantly below its market value. The effective result
is a significant subsidization of Chinas exports and
a virtual tariff on foreign imports to China.
The
groups also support H.R. 1498, introduced April 5 in the House,
known as the Chinese Currency Act of 2005. Proponents contend
that the good health of U.S. manufacturing requires unfettered
access to open markets abroad and fairly traded raw materials
and products in accord with the international legal principles
and agreements of the World Trade Organization and the International
Monetary Fund. As a member of both the WTO and IMF, China
is legally obligated to stop subsidizing exports and manipulating
its exchange rate, according to the bill. However, China has
given no sign of any intent to correct the yuans undervaluation
in the foreseeable future.
As
a result, the bill seeks to amend relevant U.S. trade laws
to make explicit that exchange-rate manipulation is actionable
as either or both a countervailable export subsidy and as
a cause of present or threatened market disruption to United
States domestic producers.
The
bill, if passed, would clarify two previous trade laws dating
back to 1930 and 1974. Additionally, it would prohibit the
U.S. government from purchasing defense goods from China that
can be found in the domestic market.
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