November 2005
Association
News

U.S. Steel Industry Wary
of Another Import Surge

The United States imported 2,195,000 net tons of steel in September, including 1,762,000 tons of finished steel, according to Census Bureau data reported by the American Iron and Steel Institute. While these figures were down 5.2 and 7.7 percent, respectively, compared to August 2005, imports of individual products jumped considerably in September, including plates in coil (up 44 percent), hot-rolled sheets (up 30 percent), galvanized electrolytic sheet and strip (up 29 percent) and plate cut to length (up 28 percent).

Year-to-date total and finished imports, though down 7.9 percent in both categories vs. 2004, remain 14 percent above pre-1988 import surge levels. Key products seeing large year-to-date increases include oil-country goods (up 55 percent), galvanized and electrolytic sheet and strip (up 45 percent), cold-finished bars (up 43 percent), tin plate (up 32 percent) and all other metallic coated sheet and strip (up 23 percent).

Year-to-date finished imports are also up substantially from non-market economies and countries that historically subsidize their steel industries and intervene in steel, raw material and currency markets, say AISI officials, including China, Malaysia, Thailand, Ukraine, South Korea and Japan.

U.S. spot prices for hot- and cold-rolled sheet in September rose 15 and 12 percent, respectively, after declining the previous 11 months in a row, according to data publicly reported by Purchasing Magazine. The September 2004-September 2005 price declines for these products, however, were 34 and 26 percent, respectively.

“Imports continue at a steady pace,” said John Surma, president and CEO of U.S. Steel Corp. and chairman of AISI, “but with increasing evidence of state-supported excess capacity overseas, we are closely monitoring the influx of imports in individual categories and from countries that have historically interfered with market forces through subsidies, currency interventions and other unfair trade practices.”

Byrd Repeal in the Works?
The House Ways and Means Committee has approved a measure that calls for the repeal of the Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act, also known as the Byrd Amendment, as part of a budget reconciliation bill now on its way to the House Budget Committee.

“The Byrd Amendment is the ultimate combination of protectionism, corporate welfare and government waste,” says Rep. Jim Ramstad, R-Minn., who co-sponsored the legislation. “It costs taxpayers millions of dollars in subsidy payments and consumers millions in higher costs.”

On Sept. 26, the Government Accountability Office released the results of a year-long review of the Byrd Amendment, concluding that the law has benefited only a handful of large companies in only a few industries—including steel—and that accountability for their claims is questionable.

The World Trade Organization ruled in 2002 that the Byrd Amendment violates U.S. trade obligations. Congress’ failure to repeal the law has resulted in WTO-authorized retaliation against U.S. exports by Canada, the European Union, Japan and Mexico on various products. Total retaliatory tariffs from these countries are approximately $114 million.

Industry and trade groups that support the Byrd Amendment continue to maintain that its distributions enable companies and workers to survive in the face of unfair foreign competition. Under the amendment, some duties on illegal imports go directly to “affected domestic producers” harmed by the dumping.

AIIS: ‘Halt Import Duties During
Hurricane Reconstruction’

The American Institute for International Steel, which represents foreign mills, is urging President Bush to consider eliminating all import duties on steel products to reduce the burden of post-hurricane reconstruction costs on taxpayers.

Many foreign steel products currently face antidumping or countervailing duties, including hot-rolled sheet, plate, structurals, rebar, pipe and tube from various countries—all critical building materials in the rebuilding effort, notes David Phelps, AIIS president. For the government or private sector to pay duties on products needed to rebuild the hurricane-affected areas would only increase the cost of the effort, he says.

AIIS proposes a three-part policy: that duties should be waived on all steel products needed for the reconstruction effort; that duties be waived on all steel products determined to be in short supply to ensure availability to steel consumers not involved in the reconstruction effort; and that all “Buy American” preferences for federal highway and bridge construction and mass transit procurement also be waived.

MSCI: Aluminum, Steel Inventories Down
The 2005 trend of aluminum shipment increases and steel shipment decreases continued through September at U.S. and Canadian service centers, according to the most recent Metals Activity Report from the Metals Service Center Institute.

Steel inventories at U.S. service centers were lower at the end of September in both year-over-year and month-to-month comparisons, while year-over-year inventories of aluminum products were higher at the end of September than at the end of September 2004. Steel inventories at Canadian service centers were lower at the end of September than year-earlier and month-earlier levels, while aluminum inventories were up in both year-over-year and month-to-month comparisons.

U.S. service centers shipped 4.62 million tons of steel products in September 2005, an increase of 0.1 percent over the same month a year ago. Year-to-date shipments of steel from U.S. service centers, at 41.6 million tons, were down 3.1 percent from the same period in 2004.

U.S. service centers’ steel inventories at the end of September totaled more than 12.9 million tons, down 12.9 percent from September 2004 and 3 percent from August. The 2.8-month supply at month’s end was down 12 percent from a year ago, but 3.7 percent above August 2005.

U.S. service center shipments of aluminum products of 111,870 tons in September were up 6.5 percent from September 2004 and marked the 21st consecutive month of year-over-year increases. Year-to-date shipments of aluminum totaling 905,600 tons were 7.3 percent higher at the end of September than in the same period of 2004.

Aluminum inventories at U.S. service centers, 357,600 tons, were 6.7 percent higher than at the end of September 2004, but down 2.6 percent from August. At the current shipping rate, this represents a 3.3-month supply of aluminum, down 5.7 percent from August 2005.

Canadian service center steel shipments totaled 374,200 tons in September, up 6.9 percent from September 2004. Year-to-date shipments of nearly 3.2 million tons were down 5.6 percent from the same period in 2004.

Steel inventories at Canadian service centers totaled 1.03 million tons at the end of September, a decrease of 4.1 percent from September 2004 and August 2005. At the current shipping rate, this represents a 2.7-month inventory supply, a decrease of 12.9 percent from a year ago and a decrease of 10 percent from August 2005.

September aluminum shipments from Canadian service centers rose 3.7 percent, to 10,500 tons, compared with September 2004. Year-to-date shipments of 87,300 tons are 2.9 percent higher than the same period a year ago.

Canadian service center aluminum inventories of 32,800 tons were up 14.8 percent from a year ago and 2.5 percent from August. At current shipping rates, this is a 3.1-month supply, up 7.5 percent from a year ago, but down 3.1 percent from August 2005.

 

 

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