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The continuing
shortage of truck drivers is prompting metals suppliers to consider
rail transportation. Demand for rail service already far exceeds
the supply of railcars, however. With shippers in other industries
snapping up most of the available cars, metals suppliers see mostly
disappointment at the end of the tunnel.
By
Dan Markham,
Senior Editor
The
well-documented shortage of over-the-road truck drivers, coupled
with the skyrocketing price of fuel, has service center operators
scrambling for transportation that is both available and affordable.
For
some, that means rail service. But transporting steel by rail can
be even more challenging than moving it by truck.
Capacity
issues, intense competition for track and railcars, and more profit-minded
railroads combine to put an even tighter squeeze on beleaguered
shippers in metals and other industries.
For
metals producers and distributors, there is an upside in their fight
to secure a place on the rails. They supply the steel and aluminum
the railroads need to replenish their fleets.
Starting
in late 2005, orders for new railcars exploded, says Peter Toja,
an analyst with Economic Planning Associates, Smithtown, N.Y. Rail
companies ordered more than 26,569 units in fourth-quarter 2005.
That sizable number was dwarfed by the 35,991 cars ordered in the
first three months of 2006.
Railcar
builders are poised for a banner year this year, next year and,
for practical purposes, many years after that, Toja says.
Replacement pressures are quite strong.
The
volume of new orders has created a backlog of about 86,900 railcars.
At the current rate of production, Toja says, railcars ordered today
wont be delivered for nearly 15 months. That delay means the
railroads cant exactly respond quickly to changes in demand
for rail services.
You
cant call out and say, Give me 150 coil cars tomorrow,
says James Schaaf, director of marketing-metal products for Norfolk
Southern Railroad, Norfolk, Va. If youre looking for
a covered coil car, you have to go to a build program. There may
be spot leases coming up, but youre not going to see an appreciable
number of cars being made available.
While
this backlog of orders is a good sign for metals consumption, filling
them wont necessarily alleviate the transportation woes of
steelmakers and service centers. That solution depends on the types
of railcars the railroads order.
Statistics
from the Washington, D.C.-based Association of American Railroads
show that metals products represented just 3.2 percent of all commodities
transported by train in 2004, well behind industry leader coal,
grain, chemicals and others. Since cars needed to transport metals,
such as covered coil cars, are different than ones used to move
coal or grain, the first decision that affects rail availability
for metals suppliers is made when the railroads place their orders.
Youre
competing for the capital dollars the railroad has to buy the kind
of car you want, says Gordon Gustafson, chief commercial officer
for ADS Logistics, Homewood, Ill. If a railroad has the opportunity
to buy a coal hopper vs. a covered coil car, they look at whats
going to give them the best return on investment.
Though
metals companies are using rail transportation in greater numbers,
their growth doesnt match that of coal or grain. New ethanol
requirements, in particular, have spiked shipments of both corn
and its byproduct, dried distillers grain, Toja said.
To
keep pace with demand, the railroads are embarking on a record-setting
capital investment campaign, with more than $8.2 billion in infrastructure
spending projected for 2006, according to the AAR. The number eclipses
the old record of $7.1 billion spent in 1998 and is 24 percent ahead
of the $6.6 billion spent in 2005. The $8.1 billion figure represents
17.8 percent of the industrys revenues, far beyond the average
capital investment across industries.
Railroading
is one of, if not the most, capital-intensive industries in the
country, says Tom White, a spokesperson for the AAR. It
takes something like $2.50 in invested capital to get $1 in revenue.
The
outlay by rail company CSX Corp., Jacksonville, Fla., is typical
of this increased spending. During the previous two years, CSX made
$1 billion in annual capital investments. In 2006 and 2007, the
company has increased that figure to $1.4 billion.
While
much of the investment will go toward more cars and locomotives,
the railroads have also earmarked money for track additions to increase
the amount of traffic the rail system can handle.
CSX
will add long-passing sidings on several of its northeastern tracks,
essentially giving us double track capabilities, says
Gary Sease, spokesman for CSX. Similarly, Burlington North-ern Santa
Fe has an-nounced plans to eliminate all single track on its transcontinental
line. In each case, a little track expansion at stress points can
go a long way toward relieving congestion.
That
can have a big impact, especially if youre talking about a
heavily used main line. The trains have to stack up, and it becomes
a domino effect, says AARs White. Like building railcars,
adding track isnt cheap. A single mile of track costs an estimated
$2 million, he adds.
Despite
the rail industrys investment efforts, experts predict demand
for rail services will continue to outstrip supply as long as the
metals market and overall economy remain hot.
Norfolk
Southern continues to report record demand for its services and
equipment, Schaaf says, but the railroad is realistic about the
future. In a market thats ever-changing and hard to
forecast, you dont ever want to size your fleet for peak demand.
If the market softens, youre definitely going to have a surplus,
and you always want to protect against that.
Meanwhile,
the lack of suitable railcars and trucks has left metals distributors
scrambling for ways to move product. There is a big need for
both truck drivers and rail, says Marvin Jurjevic, transportation
manager at Steel Warehouse, South Bend, Ind. Theres
a huge strain on the industry.
Like
most service centers, virtually all of Steel Warehouses rail
shipments are receipts, not deliveries. The service center receives
roughly 75 cars per week, while shipping only 6 to 12 cars per month.
Though
Steel Warehouse has a rail option at all of its facilities, its
use of that mode varies depending on the origin of the steel.
Similarly,
says Roger Sippey, executive vice president of Chicago-based Feralloy
Corp., the destination of the material plays a large role in whether
rail is employed. His companys Mexican facilities are served
heavily by rail, as are plants in California and the Southeastern
U.S. Its Midwestern facilities, in contrast, dont use it as
much.
Thats
consistent with the general idea that rail makes more sense the
longer the distance. John Montgomery Jr. of Southland Tube, Birmingham,
Ala., says rail really isnt an economical option unless the
distance is more than 300 miles.
Even
then, rail isnt always cheaper. It has become more costly
in some instances than truck, Sippey says, particularly when
service centers fail to meet the tightened unloading requirements
and are assessed demurrage penalties.
One
company not having difficulty with its rail program is Collier Metals,
a transloader and distributor in Atlanta. Collier has a close working
relationship with Norfolk Southern, its landlord. The steel distribution
facility was formerly a locomotive repair building.
President
Jim Collier says his companys growth is tied to its tight
relationship with the railroad. We work closely with the railroad
trying to determine things we can do on our end, he says,
such as increasing warehouse capacity, adding rail spots and acquiring
track mobiles to move railcars.
Equally
important is the attitude that transportation companies are partners,
not mere service providers. I feel truly as if its a
partnership, Collier says. When you find good business,
bring cars in here loaded, immediately route them back and get them
reloaded, thats good business for them, too.
Building
relationships with transportation providers, whether rail, truck
or barge, is critical to navigating a logistics world that is not
likely to become less congested any time soon.
Any
customers intending to use rail must make themselves rail-friendly,
which means theyll have to turn cars rapidly, Gustafson
says.
We
need to work in conjunction with our customers to make sure were
doing everything we can to minimize delays, concurs Schaaf.
Those
who dont may find themselves struggling to find transportation.
If
we go to a service center that doesnt manage its inbounds,
backs up its property and backs up our yard, thats detrimental
to us. Were going to talk to his shippers about going there
again via rail, says Darrell Stanyard, director of sales for
the metals business unit at CSX.
Another
area where metals companies can aid the railroadsand thereby
reduce costsis to deliver more accurate projections on the
number of cars needed. The big thing we try to promote, both
internally and with our customers, is accuracy in forecasting,
Schaaf says.
Besides
the speed at turning cars, one area of concentration for the railroads
is providing cars capable of handling the task expected of them.
When a covered coil car or gondola with a hole in the roof is rejected
by a service center, it throws more delay into the system.
We
want to put quality equipment in front of our customers, so we dont
get into issues of people having to reject equipment, Schaaf
says. We have aggressive plans to continue to minimize the
number of bad orders.
Jurjevic
is hopeful that the railroads are addressing the issues facing them,
including ordering more cars to meet demand. Hes less optimistic
about the major issues facing the trucking companiesfuel costs
and a decreasing driver pool.
Unless
theres a vast interest in people becoming drivers, I dont
see it getting that much better. Its going to take time to
get a workforce to cover the number of empty trucks, Jurjevic
says.
While
manpower has been an issue for some railroads, the problem isnt
nearly on the same scale. We dont have the same challenge
the truckers do on the human resources front, says Sease at
CSX, which is adding 1,500 locomotive crews per year. A two-person
train crew can operate a heck of a lot of freight over a long distance
compared to what the truckers can do.
Yet
in terms of availability, Gustafson believes conditions will worsen
on both fronts in the near future. In the case of rail, the problem
for metals suppliers is that railroads are starting to run their
operations less like public utilities and more like profit-minded
businesses.
Many
still remember the days of a regulated environment when the railroads
were forced to handle any and all comers. Now thats not necessarily
the case. They can be more selective, he says.
The
more attractive you can be to the railroadnot only relative
to other metal shippers but other commodity shippersthen the
better the shot you have, Gustafson adds.
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