June 11, 2014
Ducker Forecasts Pickup in Aluminum-Body Trucks
By 2025, more than 75 percent of all new pickup trucks produced in North America will be aluminum-bodied, according to a survey of automakers conducted by global consulting and research firm Ducker Worldwide.
The study, which confirms a major breakthrough for automotive aluminum into high-volume vehicles, surveyed all major automakers and reports Ford, General Motors and Fiat Chrysler will become the biggest users of aluminum sheet in the next decade. It also forecasts that the number of vehicles with complete aluminum body structures will reach 18 percent of North American production, from less than 1 percent today. Vehicle segments revealed as emerging aluminum content leaders are pickup trucks, sport-utility vehicles and both mid-size and full-size sedans.
The study finds that every leading automaker will have numerous aluminum body and closure programs by 2025. As the material mix for body and closure parts continues to change dramatically in the years to come, use of aluminum sheet for vehicle bodies will increase to 4 billion pounds by 2025, from 200 million pounds in 2012.
"The numbers tell a powerful story of aluminum's explosive growth across the automotive sector," said Tom Boney, chairman of the Aluminum Association’s Aluminum Transportation Group and vice president and general manager of automotive for Novelis in North America. "Within the next 10 years, seven out of 10 new pickups produced in North America will be aluminum-bodied, and so too will be more than 20 percent of SUVs and full-sized sedans."
The Aluminum Association’s Aluminum Transportation Group commissioned Ducker to conduct the "2015 North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Study." Additional findings from the study include:
• For 2015, pickup trucks will contain the most aluminum at 548.9 pounds per vehicle, followed closely by E segment sedans at 546.9 pounds, SUVs at 410.3 pounds and minivans at 396.5 pounds.
• The average aluminum content in 2015 will be up 44 pounds per vehicle or 13 percent over 2012.
• Total North American light vehicle aluminum consumption will increase 28 percent in 2015 over 2012.
• By 2025, 26.6 percent of all the body and closure parts for light vehicles in North America will be made of aluminum.
• Total North American aluminum content in 2025 will be 10 billion pounds.
• Globally, light vehicle aluminum content will approach 35 billion pounds by 2025, making light vehicles the most important global market for aluminum.